Anonther Kansas chase tomorrow
Wednesday, 18 May 2011 13:51

NAM_221_2011051812_F36_SHRM_500_MB_SM

NAM_221_2011051812_F36_CAPE_SURFACE_SM

 

To make up for last week's atmospheric failure in Kansas it looks like we'll be getting another chance tomorrow. Models are showing a chasable setup tomorrow with a triple point in central Kansas and a dryline extending down through western Oklahoma. Strongly backed surface winds and strong southerly H85 winds are making for some impressive forecast hodos. Shear looks great with up to 65kts bulk and up to 300m2/s2 SRH. 15-20kt storm motions perpendicular to the boundary should make for a good chase. Pinched, weak instability is the only limiting factor I see so far. Target as of now is Russell, KS and points south along US-281 which should put both triple point and the dryline within reach.

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